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Fed Minutes Highlight Rate Cut Split: Most Officials Expect Continued Accommodative Stance, but Timing and Size Uncertain
BlockBeats News, December 31st. According to the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on December 9th to 10th, most Federal Reserve officials believed that further interest rate cuts would be appropriate as long as inflation declined over time. However, the records show that officials still disagreed on when to cut rates and the magnitude of the cuts.
The minutes highlighted the challenges policymakers faced in their latest decision. The decision slightly reinforced market expectations that the Fed would keep rates unchanged when it meets again in January 2026.
The minutes noted a significant division among policymakers on whether inflation or unemployment posed a greater threat to the U.S. economy. The minutes stated: "Some participants who were supportive or could have supported maintaining the target range for the federal funds rate at the current meeting indicated that a substantial amount of data on labor market developments and inflation received over the intermeeting period would be useful for assessing the appropriateness of a rate cut."
Since the meeting, newly released data has done little to ease the internal divisions within the Fed. The November unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, the highest level since 2021, while consumer price increases were below expectations. Both sets of data provided support for those advocating for rate cuts.
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