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Fed Speak: Non-Farm Payrolls Report Cements Fed's Stay-Put Expectations This Month, But Labor Market's Health Still Questionable
BlockBeats News, January 9, "Fed Whispers" Nick Timiraos' latest article indicated that "Tonight's December jobs report provided Fed officials with ample reason to maintain a wait-and-see attitude at this month's meeting, with nonfarm payroll increasing by only 50,000 and the three-month private sector hiring average falling to 29,000, the second-lowest pace of the year. This sluggish pace of job growth highlights the 2025 labor market dynamic of 'slow hires, slow fires'."
However, the decline in the unemployment rate temporarily relieved extreme concerns about the deteriorating labor market. It is precisely these concerns that have led the Fed to cut rates in the past three meetings in a row. The report has solidified market expectations that the Fed will hold steady at the meeting on January 27-28, but the weak hiring data also ensure that the debate on the health of the labor market is far from over.
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