The last time a U.S. president exerted such pressure on the Federal Reserve was in 1971 with Nixon, and two years later the U.S. entered a period of stagflation.

By: blockbeats|2025/04/19 09:15:03
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Original Article Title: "The Last Time a U.S. President Pressured the Fed Like This Was Nixon in 1971, Two Years Before the United States Entered the Era of Stagflation"
Original Article Author: Ye Zhen, Wall Street News

Trump is using tweet after tweet to threaten the Fed's independence, and the last time a U.S. president pressured the Fed like this was in 1971, on the eve of the United States' Great Stagflation.

In 1971, the U.S. economy was already facing a "stagflation" dilemma, with an unemployment rate of 6.1%, an inflation rate exceeding 5.8%, and a continued expansion of the trade deficit. In order to seek re-election, President Nixon exerted unprecedented pressure on then Fed Chairman Burns.

White House records show that in 1971, Nixon's interactions with Burns significantly increased, especially in the third and fourth quarters of 1971, with formal meetings between the two reaching 17 times per quarter, far exceeding the usual communication frequency.

This intervention manifested at the policy operations level as follows: in that year, the U.S. federal funds rate plummeted from 5% at the beginning of the year to 3.5% at year-end, and the M1 money supply growth rate reached a post-World War II peak of 8.4%. In the year of the Bretton Woods system's collapse and the dramatic transformation of the global monetary system, Burns' political compromises laid the groundwork for the later "Great Inflation," which was only resolved after Paul Volcker significantly raised interest rates beginning in 1979.

As a result, Burns carried the historical stigma. Today's Powell has no intention of repeating Burns' fate.

Burns' Compromise: Political Interests Override Price Stability

In 1970, Nixon personally nominated Arthur Burns to be the Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Burns was an economist at Columbia University and had been Nixon's economic advisor during the campaign, and the two were very close. Nixon had high hopes for Burns—not as a guardian of monetary policy, but as a "cooperator" in political strategy.

At the time, Nixon faced immense pressure to win re-election in 1972, and the U.S. economy had not fully recovered from the recession of 1969, with high unemployment rates. He desperately needed a wave of economic growth, even if it was a false prosperity created through "easy money."

Therefore, he repeatedly pressured Burns, hoping the Fed would cut interest rates and increase money supply to stimulate growth. The White House's internal recordings captured multiple conversations between Nixon and Burns.

On October 10, 1971, in the Oval Office, Nixon said to Burns:

"I don't want to go out of town fast... If we lose, this will be the last time a conservative is in Washington."

He suggested that if he failed to be re-elected, Burns would face a future dominated by Democrats, and the political atmosphere would change drastically. Faced with Burns's attempt to delay further easing policies by claiming that "the banking system is already very loose," Nixon directly refuted:

"The so-called liquidity problem? That's just bullshit."

Shortly after, in a phone call, Burns reported to Nixon, "We have lowered the discount rate to 4.5%."

Nixon responded:

"Good, good, good... You can lead 'em. You always have. Just kick 'em in the rump a little."

Not only did Nixon pressure Burns on policy, but he also made his stance clear on personnel arrangements. On December 24, 1971, he said to White House Chief of Staff George Shultz:

"Do you think we've influenced Arthur about as much as we can? I mean, how much can I put the screws to him?"

"If not, I'll bring him in."

Nixon also emphasized that Burns did not have the authority to decide on Federal Reserve Board appointments:

"He's got to understand, just like Chief Justice Burger... I'm not going to let him name his people."

These dialogues are from White House recordings, clearly showing the U.S. President's systematic pressure on the Fed Chairman. And Burns indeed "complied" and defended his actions with a set of theories.

He believed that a tight monetary policy and the consequent rise in unemployment were ineffective in curbing the inflation at the time, as the root of inflation lay in factors beyond the Fed's control, such as unions, food and energy shortages, and OPEC's control of oil prices.

From 1971 to 1972, the Fed lowered interest rates, expanded the money supply, and drove a brief economic boom, which also helped Nixon achieve his re-election goal. However, the cost of this "artificially created" economic prosperity soon became apparent.

Getting Around the Federal Reserve: The 'Nixon Shock'

Despite the Federal Reserve being the monetary policy enforcement agency, when President Nixon announced the decision to "temporarily suspend the convertibility of the US dollar into gold" in August 1971, he did not heed Burns' opposition. From August 13-15, 1971, Nixon convened a closed-door meeting with 15 key advisors at Camp David, including Burns, Treasury Secretary Connally, and then-Under Secretary of the Treasury for International Monetary Affairs Volcker.

During the meeting, despite Burns initially opposing the closure of the gold window, under Nixon's strong political will, the meeting directly bypassed the Fed's decision-making process and unilaterally decided to:

Close the gold window, suspending foreign governments' right to exchange dollars for gold; implement a 90-day freeze on wages and prices to curb inflation; impose a 10% surcharge on all imported goods subject to tax, protecting American products from exchange rate fluctuations.

This series of measures, known as the 'Nixon Shock,' shattered the foundation of the Bretton Woods system established in 1944, causing a surge in gold prices and the disintegration of the global exchange rate system.

Initially, wage and price controls temporarily suppressed inflation, with US inflation kept at 3.3% in 1972. However, by 1973, Nixon lifted price controls, and at this point, the consequences of excessive dollar circulation and supply-demand imbalance quickly became apparent. Coupled with the first oil crisis that same year, prices began to soar.

The US economy then fell into a rare 'stagflation' situation, with the inflation rate reaching 8.8% in 1973 and soaring to 12.3% in 1974, while unemployment continued to rise, forming a typical stagnation-inflation pattern.

At this time, Burns attempted to tighten monetary policy, only to find that he had already lost credibility. His reliance on political compromises and non-monetary measures laid the groundwork for 'Great Inflation,' until Paul Volcker took office in 1979 and thoroughly 'suppressed' inflation with an extreme tightening policy, thereby restoring the Fed's independent prestige.

Powell Absolutely Does Not Want to Be Another Burns

Burns' tenure left behind an average annual inflation rate of 7% and weakened the Fed's credibility. Internal Federal Reserve documents and Nixon's recordings show that Burns placed short-term political needs above long-term price stability, making his tenure a textbook example of central bank independence being undermined.

Some financial commentators have joked:

"Burns did not commit fraud, murder, or even pedophilia... His only crime was—cutting interest rates before inflation was fully under control."

In contrast, Volcker's successor, Paul Volcker, "choked" inflation with a 19% interest rate, causing a severe recession but emerging as the hero who slayed inflation in the eyes of Wall Street, economic history, and the public. History has shown that Americans can forgive a Federal Reserve chair who leads the economy into a recession, but they will not forgive a chair who ignites inflation.

Powell is well aware of this and has no intention of becoming the next Burns.

Original Article Link

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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